How our statistical football probability model calibrates outcomes, finds value vs the market and publishes every result for transparency.
PIQSmart sits upstream of every place a football market can be traded. It publishes a probability for each outcome and the price it is compared against, so the estimate can be judged on its own terms wherever the market is read.
The forecast comes first and is never fitted backwards from a preferred pick. Every published prediction is settled and kept on the public record, wins and losses alike, so the method can be checked over a sample rather than a highlight.
Predictions are probability estimates, not guarantees. 18+. Please gamble responsibly — BeGambleAware.org.